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England tour of India · 2023/24 · Men
7 Mar 2024 · Test
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalstumped · Ben Foakes · Shoaib Bashir5 fours · 3 sixes | stumped · Ben Foakes · b Shoaib Bashir | 57 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 98.28 |
 Rohit Sharmabowled · Ben Stokes13 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Ben Stokes | 103 | 162 | 13 | 3 | 63.58 |
 Shubman Gillbowled · James Anderson12 fours · 5 sixes | bowled · b James Anderson | 110 | 150 | 12 | 5 | 73.33 |
| Devdutt Padikkalbowled · Shoaib Bashir 10 fours · 1 sixes |
| 65 |
| 103 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 63.11 |
| Sarfaraz Khancaught · Joe Root · Shoaib Bashir 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Shoaib Bashir | 56 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 93.33 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejalbw · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Hartley | 15 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Dhruv Jurelcaught · Ben Duckett · Shoaib Bashir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Shoaib Bashir | 15 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwinbowled · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Hartley | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavcaught · Ben Foakes · James Anderson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Foakes · b James Anderson | 30 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 43.48 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahstumped · Ben Foakes · Shoaib Bashir2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ben Foakes · b Shoaib Bashir | 20 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Anderson2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 60 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark Wood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 89 | 0 | 5.93 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 39.0 | 3 | 126 | 2 | 3.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 46.1 | 5 | 173 | 5 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 3.40 | 0 | 1 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-104 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 20.4) · 2-275 (Rohit Sharma, 61.1) · 3-279 (Shubman Gill, 62.2) · 4-376 (Sarfaraz Khan, 84.1) · 5-403 (Devdutt Padikkal, 92.1) · 6-427 (Dhruv Jurel, 100.4) · 7-427 (Ravindra Jadeja, 101.1) · 8-428 (Ravichandran Ashwin, 102.0) · 9-477 (Kuldeep Yadav, 123.4) · 10-477 (Jasprit Bumrah, 124.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 26/0 |
| 9 | 18 | 44/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 47/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 47/0 |
| 12 | 9 | 56/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 57/0 |
| 14 | 9 | 66/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 72/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 74/0 |
| 17 | 5 | 79/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 80/0 |
| 19 | 10 | 90/0 |
| 20 | 4 | 94/0 |
| 21 | 10 | 104/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 105/1 |
| 23 | 6 | 111/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 115/1 |
| 25 | 7 | 122/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 124/1 |
| 27 | 0 | 124/1 |
| 28 | 2 | 126/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 127/1 |
| 30 | 8 | 135/1 |
| 31 | 0 | 135/1 |
| 32 | 2 | 137/1 |
| 33 | 10 | 147/1 |
| 34 | 14 | 161/1 |
| 35 | 1 | 162/1 |
| 36 | 4 | 166/1 |
| 37 | 5 | 171/1 |
| 38 | 9 | 180/1 |
| 39 | 3 | 183/1 |
| 40 | 3 | 186/1 |
| 41 | 3 | 189/1 |
| 42 | 8 | 197/1 |
| 43 | 2 | 199/1 |
| 44 | 3 | 202/1 |
| 45 | 0 | 202/1 |
| 46 | 4 | 206/1 |
| 47 | 0 | 206/1 |
| 48 | 12 | 218/1 |
| 49 | 7 | 225/1 |
| 50 | 5 | 230/1 |
| 51 | 1 | 231/1 |
| 52 | 0 | 231/1 |
| 53 | 7 | 238/1 |
| 54 | 3 | 241/1 |
| 55 | 5 | 246/1 |
| 56 | 5 | 251/1 |
| 57 | 0 | 251/1 |
| 58 | 6 | 257/1 |
| 59 | 5 | 262/1 |
| 60 | 2 | 264/1 |
| 61 | 11 | 275/1 |
| 62 | 4 | 279/2 |
| 63 | 1 | 280/3 |
| 64 | 6 | 286/3 |
| 65 | 4 | 290/3 |
| 66 | 5 | 295/3 |
| 67 | 4 | 299/3 |
| 68 | 2 | 301/3 |
| 69 | 12 | 313/3 |
| 70 | 0 | 313/3 |
| 71 | 2 | 315/3 |
| 72 | 0 | 315/3 |
| 73 | 1 | 316/3 |
| 74 | 2 | 318/3 |
| 75 | 11 | 329/3 |
| 76 | 8 | 337/3 |
| 77 | 2 | 339/3 |
| 78 | 13 | 352/3 |
| 79 | 4 | 356/3 |
| 80 | 1 | 357/3 |
| 81 | 9 | 366/3 |
| 82 | 4 | 370/3 |
| 83 | 3 | 373/3 |
| 84 | 3 | 376/3 |
| 85 | 1 | 377/4 |
| 86 | 2 | 379/4 |
| 87 | 7 | 386/4 |
| 88 | 8 | 394/4 |
| 89 | 1 | 395/4 |
| 90 | 4 | 399/4 |
| 91 | 1 | 400/4 |
| 92 | 3 | 403/4 |
| 93 | 3 | 406/5 |
| 94 | 4 | 410/5 |
| 95 | 2 | 412/5 |
| 96 | 1 | 413/5 |
| 97 | 1 | 414/5 |
| 98 | 6 | 420/5 |
| 99 | 1 | 421/5 |
| 100 | 5 | 426/5 |
| 101 | 1 | 427/6 |
| 102 | 1 | 428/8 |
| 103 | 5 | 433/8 |
| 104 | 1 | 434/8 |
| 105 | 1 | 435/8 |
| 106 | 6 | 441/8 |
| 107 | 2 | 443/8 |
| 108 | 1 | 444/8 |
| 109 | 6 | 450/8 |
| 110 | 1 | 451/8 |
| 111 | 4 | 455/8 |
| 112 | 1 | 456/8 |
| 113 | 1 | 457/8 |
| 114 | 3 | 460/8 |
| 115 | 1 | 461/8 |
| 116 | 1 | 462/8 |
| 117 | 0 | 462/8 |
| 118 | 5 | 467/8 |
| 119 | 5 | 472/8 |
| 120 | 1 | 473/8 |
| 121 | 2 | 475/8 |
| 122 | 1 | 476/8 |
| 123 | 1 | 477/8 |
| 124 | 0 | 477/9 |
| 125 | 0 | 477/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Foakes: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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