MI EmiratesversusGulf Giants

21 Jan 2024 · T20

Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

MI Emirates won by 18 runs

MI Emirates20.0 overs179/5 Gulf Giants20.0 overs161/9 Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

MI Emirates started on 43%; MI Emirates batted first.

MI Emirates’s chance of winning (%) · Gulf Giants is the rest

MI Emirates's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (Gulf Giants: 0% to 75%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 5.2: Fazalhaq Farooqi to JL Smith, JL Smith out. MI Emirates up from 42% to 54%.
2nd inns 17.6: TA Boult to J Overton, six by J Overton. Gulf Giants up from 23% to 47%.
2nd inns 18.2: Fazalhaq Farooqi to J Overton, J Overton out. MI Emirates up from 60% to 79%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Gulf Giants chose to field
Player of the match: Tim David
match referees: SJA Taufel
reserve umpires: RJ Tucker
tv umpires: LS Reifer
umpires: Ahmed Shah Pakteen, MJ Saggers

Match history & source

On 21 Jan 2024, MI Emirates played Gulf Giants at Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi. Recorded result: MI Emirates won by 18 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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