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West Indies Women tour of Ireland · 2026 · Women
15 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 53%; West Indies batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbeslbw · Jannillea Glasgow 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jannillea Glasgow | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught · Deandra Dottin · Afy Fletcher 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Deandra Dottin · b Afy Fletcher | 50 | 59 | 7 | 2 | 84.75 |
| Amy Huntercaught · Hayley Matthews · Afy Fletcher 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayley Matthews · b Afy Fletcher | 30 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Orla Prendergastcaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Hayley Matthews 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Hayley Matthews | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
| Rebecca Stokellrun out · M Mangru, Shemaine Campbelle · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Mangru, Shemaine Campbelle | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
West Indies's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Leah Paulstumped · Shemaine Campbelle · Afy Fletcher 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shemaine Campbelle · b Afy Fletcher | 32 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 68.09 |
|---|
| Louise Littlebowled · Karishma Ramharack 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karishma Ramharack | 23 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 58.97 |
|---|
| Georgina Dempseybowled · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
| Jane Maguirebowled · Karishma Ramharack 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karishma Ramharack | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Aimee Maguirelbw · Karishma Ramharack 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Karishma Ramharack | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
|---|
| KJ McCartneynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannillea Glasgow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 1 |
| 10.0 | 1 | 37 | 2 | 3.70 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6.1 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 5.35 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10.0 | 1 | 33 | 3 | 3.30 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ashmini Munisar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5.60 | 3 | 0 |
1-10 (Sarah Forbes, 4.1) · 2-81 (Gaby Lewis, 17.3) · 3-86 (Amy Hunter, 18.0) · 4-95 (Orla Prendergast, 20.2) · 5-129 (Rebecca Stokell, 27.2) · 6-158 (Leah Paul, 35.2) · 7-169 (Georgina Dempsey, 38.3) · 8-175 (Louise Little, 39.5) · 9-190 (Jane Maguire, 41.4) · 10-193 (Aimee Maguire, 43.1)
Recorded target: 258 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 25/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 42/1 |
| 12 | 15 | 57/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 61/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 69/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 75/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 79/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 80/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 86/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 92/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 95/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 98/4 |
| 23 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 105/4 |
| 25 | 7 | 112/4 |
| 26 | 9 | 121/4 |
| 27 | 7 | 128/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 132/5 |
| 29 | 3 | 135/5 |
| 30 | 2 | 137/5 |
| 31 | 5 | 142/5 |
| 32 | 3 | 145/5 |
| 33 | 10 | 155/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 156/5 |
| 35 | 2 | 158/5 |
| 36 | 0 | 158/6 |
| 37 | 6 | 164/6 |
| 38 | 1 | 165/6 |
| 39 | 5 | 170/7 |
| 40 | 6 | 176/8 |
| 41 | 10 | 186/8 |
| 42 | 4 | 190/9 |
| 43 | 3 | 193/9 |
| 44 | 0 | 193/10 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.