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West Indies Women tour of Ireland · 2026 · Women
15 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 53%; West Indies batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewscaught · Amy Hunter · Orla Prendergast0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Orla Prendergast | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Realeanna Grimmondbowled · Jane Maguire 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jane Maguire | 14 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Stafanie Taylorrun out · Amy Hunter, Louise Little · Georgina Dempsey10 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Louise Little | 105 | 113 | 10 | 0 | 92.92 |
 Shemaine Campbellerun out · Amy Hunter, Aimee Maguire · Jane Maguire1 fours · 0 sixes | run out |
West Indies's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Ireland: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| Jannillea Glasgowrun out · Sarah Forbes, Amy Hunter · Jane Maguire 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sarah Forbes, Amy Hunter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Deandra Dottinstumped · Amy Hunter · Georgina Dempsey4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Hunter · b Georgina Dempsey | 21 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 80.77 |
|---|
| Jahzara Claxtoncaught · Amy Hunter · Aimee Maguire 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Aimee Maguire | 30 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 69.77 |
|---|
| Aaliyah Alleynebowled · Georgina Dempsey 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Georgina Dempsey | 33 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
 Afy Fletcherbowled · Jane Maguire0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jane Maguire | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ashmini Munisarbowled · Orla Prendergast 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Orla Prendergast | 7 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 43.75 |
|---|
 Karishma Ramharacknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 27 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 3.70 | 7 | 0 |
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 61 | 2 | 6.10 | 8 | 0 |
| Aimee Maguire0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Jane Maguire0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 6 | 0 |
| KJ McCartney0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 6.40 | 0 | 1 |
| Louise Little0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-7 (Hayley Matthews, 2.5) · 2-41 (Realeanna Grimmond, 10.5) · 3-47 (Shemaine Campbelle, 12.3) · 4-48 (Jannillea Glasgow, 12.4) · 5-82 (Deandra Dottin, 19.0) · 6-155 (Jahzara Claxton, 31.5) · 7-205 (Aaliyah Alleyne, 40.0) · 8-210 (Afy Fletcher, 40.5) · 9-224 (Ashmini Munisar, 44.5) · 10-257 (Stafanie Taylor, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 48/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 56/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 65/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 75/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 78/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 82/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 86/5 |
| 21 | 8 | 94/5 |
| 22 | 5 | 99/5 |
| 23 | 3 | 102/5 |
| 24 | 8 | 110/5 |
| 25 | 6 | 116/5 |
| 26 | 14 | 130/5 |
| 27 | 4 | 134/5 |
| 28 | 3 | 137/5 |
| 29 | 8 | 145/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 150/5 |
| 31 | 3 | 153/5 |
| 32 | 2 | 155/6 |
| 33 | 6 | 161/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 165/6 |
| 35 | 4 | 169/6 |
| 36 | 12 | 181/6 |
| 37 | 9 | 190/6 |
| 38 | 7 | 197/6 |
| 39 | 6 | 203/6 |
| 40 | 2 | 205/7 |
| 41 | 5 | 210/8 |
| 42 | 1 | 211/8 |
| 43 | 3 | 214/8 |
| 44 | 6 | 220/8 |
| 45 | 4 | 224/9 |
| 46 | 8 | 232/9 |
| 47 | 3 | 235/9 |
| 48 | 2 | 237/9 |
| 49 | 5 | 242/9 |
| 50 | 15 | 257/10 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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