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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 35%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Glamorgan: 57% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · SHB Morgan · Zafar Gohar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SHB Morgan · b Zafar Gohar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| William Smalecaught · Luke Hollman · Eathan Bosch 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Eathan Bosch | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| BI Kellawaybowled · Neha Sharma 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Neha Sharma | 32 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Max Holden · Luke Hollman 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max Holden · b Luke Hollman | 46 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 131.43 |
 Sean Dickson |
| not out |
| 67* |
| 34 |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 197.06 |
| James Neeshamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 10.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| SHB Morgan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Kiran Carlson, 0.1) · 2-28 (William Smale, 3.4) · 3-55 (BI Kellaway, 7.2) · 4-151 (Asa Tribe, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 49/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 64/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 73/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 77/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 98/3 |
| 14 | 17 | 115/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 126/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 139/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 151/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 159/4 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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