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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 35%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Glamorgan: 57% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 161.11 |
| Max Holdenbowled · Nathan McAndrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan McAndrew | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Matt Boylelbw · Nathan McAndrew 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nathan McAndrew | 17 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 154.55 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Asa Tribe · Mason Crane2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Mason Crane | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
| Ben Geddesrun out · Kiran Carlson, Chris Cooke · Timm van der Gugten 2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Kiran Carlson, Chris Cooke |
| 38 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 172.73 |
 Luke Hollmancaught and bowled · Mason Crane0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mason Crane | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · William Smale · Mason Crane0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Mason Crane | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 21 | 1 | 1 | 119.05 |
|---|
| SHB Morgannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Max Holden, 1.3) · 2-47 (Matt Boyle, 5.2) · 3-57 (Joe Cracknell, 6.1) · 4-68 (Leus du Plooy, 8.1) · 5-110 (Ben Geddes, 12.4) · 6-112 (Zafar Gohar, 14.1) · 7-113 (Luke Hollman, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 57/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 62/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 79/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 91/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 98/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 110/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 114/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 120/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 123/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 129/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 136/7 |
| 20 | 17 | 153/7 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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