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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographDurham started on 48%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 11% to 89% during the match (Yorkshire: 11% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ben Raine | 26 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Alex Lees · b Ben Raine | 66 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 183.33 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| caught · Graham Clark · b Callum Parkinson |
| 60 |
| 32 |
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 187.50 |
| Sam Whitemanretired out · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired out | 12 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 70.59 |
|---|
2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 34* | 15 | 2 | 2 | 226.67 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 14.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 15.91 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-54 (Adam Lyth, 4.3) · 2-81 (William Luxton, 6.2) · 3-107 (Jonny Bairstow, 11.1) · 4-168 (Moeen Ali, 16.1) · 5-194 (Sam Whiteman, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 63/1 |
| 6 | 17 | 80/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 82/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 84/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 107/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 114/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 121/3 |
| 14 | 25 | 146/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 152/3 |
| 16 | 16 | 168/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 173/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 179/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 194/5 |
| 20 | 14 | 208/5 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.