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Finland Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
19 Jul 2025 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 52%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Estonia: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Madanayakerun out · Ananya Srinivasan, D Medagoda · Naina Saju 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ananya Srinivasan, D Medagoda | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| A Vessikrun out · Naina Saju, S Dabholkatr · S Dabholkatr 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Naina Saju, S Dabholkatr | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| C Lokugecaught · Meghna Rajan · S Dabholkatr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meghna Rajan · b S Dabholkatr | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Viktoria Freycaught · F Elizabet · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Elizabet · b Meghna Rajan | 19 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 65.52 |
| Ragne Hallikcaught · Meghna Rajan · D Medagoda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meghna Rajan · b D Medagoda | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| B Wanicaught · Naina Saju · Metty Fernandes 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Naina Saju · b Metty Fernandes |
| 16 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 114.29 |
| Asma Shifabowled · Saranya Kotha 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saranya Kotha | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Valnercaught · F Elizabet · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Elizabet · b Meghna Rajan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| L Sormuscaught · Ananya Srinivasan · Naina Saju 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ananya Srinivasan · b Naina Saju | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
| H Kergenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| E Ellermaacaught and bowled · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Meghna Rajan | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 25 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naina Saju0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 3 | 1 |
| S Dabholkatr0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 6 | 0 |
| D Medagoda0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 6 | 1 |
| Metty Fernandes0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Saranya Kotha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Meghna Rajan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 3.18 | 3 | 0 |
1-4 (A Vessik, 1.1) · 2-6 (C Lokuge, 1.4) · 3-7 (G Madanayake, 2.1) · 4-28 (Ragne Hallik, 4.5) · 5-53 (B Wani, 7.5) · 6-58 (Asma Shifa, 8.4) · 7-61 (M Valner, 9.3) · 8-71 (L Sormus, 13.0) · 9-73 (Viktoria Frey, 14.1) · 10-76 (E Ellermaa, 14.5)
Recorded target: 153 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 13 | 32/4 |
| 6 | 9 | 41/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 44/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 55/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 59/6 |
| 10 | 2 | 61/7 |
| 11 | 5 | 66/7 |
| 12 | 4 | 70/7 |
| 13 | 1 | 71/8 |
| 14 | 2 | 73/8 |
| 15 | 3 | 76/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.