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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
13 Jan 2024 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 40%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Faf du Plessiscaught · Beuran Hendricks · George Linde0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beuran Hendricks · b George Linde | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Reeza Hendricksrun out · Ryan Rickelton, Liam Livingstone · Beuran Hendricks0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ryan Rickelton, Liam Livingstone | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| R Herrmanncaught · Beuran Hendricks · Kagiso Rabada 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beuran Hendricks · b Kagiso Rabada | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
 Leus du Plooyrun out · Ryan Rickelton, Beuran Hendricks · George Linde6 fours · 2 sixes |
| run out · Ryan Rickelton, Beuran Hendricks |
| 48 |
| 24 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| 200.00 |
 Moeen Alicaught · Kieron Pollard · Beuran Hendricks0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kieron Pollard · b Beuran Hendricks | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Donavon Ferreirastumped · Ryan Rickelton · Liam Livingstone 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ryan Rickelton · b Liam Livingstone | 14 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Romario Shepherdcaught · Kieron Pollard · Oli Stone 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kieron Pollard · b Oli Stone | 34 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 178.95 |
|---|
| Lizaad Williamscaught · Liam Livingstone · George Linde 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b George Linde | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Nandre Burgercaught · Oli Stone · Sam Curran 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b Sam Curran | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Zahir Khanbowled · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Imran Tahirnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Beuran Hendricks0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.35 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Reeza Hendricks, 1.1) · 2-14 (R Herrmann, 3.0) · 3-29 (Faf du Plessis, 4.1) · 4-47 (Moeen Ali, 6.0) · 5-92 (Leus du Plooy, 11.0) · 6-94 (Donavon Ferreira, 11.4) · 7-103 (Lizaad Williams, 13.0) · 8-144 (Nandre Burger, 16.4) · 9-144 (Romario Shepherd, 17.1) · 10-145 (Zahir Khan, 17.5)
Recorded target: 244 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 15 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 34/3 |
| 6 | 13 | 47/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 1 | 49/4 |
| 9 | 15 | 64/4 |
| 10 | 16 | 80/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 92/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 96/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 103/7 |
| 14 | 9 | 112/7 |
| 15 | 11 | 123/7 |
| 16 | 18 | 141/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 144/8 |
| 18 | 1 | 145/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kieron Pollard: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Imran Tahir: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Faf du Plessis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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