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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
13 Jan 2024 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 40%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussencaught · Donavon Ferreira · Imran Tahir 9 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Imran Tahir | 104 | 50 | 9 | 6 | 208.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · R Herrmann · Nandre Burger6 fours · 8 sixes | caught · R Herrmann · b Nandre Burger | 98 | 49 | 6 | 8 | 200.00 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · Faf du Plessis · Lizaad Williams 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faf du Plessis · b Lizaad Williams | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Liam Livingstonelbw · Romario Shepherd 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Romario Shepherd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 240.00 |
 |
| not out |
| 9* |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 112.50 |
 Sam Curranbowled · Nandre Burger0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandre Burger | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 2 | 13.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lizaad Williams0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Romario Shepherd0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 16.33 | 7 | 0 |
 Imran Tahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Zahir Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-200 (HE van der Dussen, 15.3) · 2-208 (Dewald Brevis, 16.4) · 3-226 (Liam Livingstone, 17.4) · 4-239 (Ryan Rickelton, 19.2) · 5-243 (Sam Curran, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 27 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 73/0 |
| 7 | 16 | 89/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 99/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 107/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 114/0 |
| 11 | 12 | 126/0 |
| 12 | 20 | 146/0 |
| 13 | 19 | 165/0 |
| 14 | 16 | 181/0 |
| 15 | 17 | 198/0 |
| 16 | 8 | 206/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 214/2 |
| 18 | 17 | 231/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 238/3 |
| 20 | 5 | 243/5 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kieron Pollard: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Imran Tahir: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Faf du Plessis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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