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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
18 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 32%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 7% to 99% during the match (Oman: 1% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Nosthush Kenjige · Milind Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nosthush Kenjige · b Milind Kumar | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Harmeet Singh | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Andries Gous · Nosthush Kenjige 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andries Gous · b Nosthush Kenjige | 29 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 67.44 |
| Hashir Dafedarbowled · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Yasir Mohammad | 9 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 40.91 |
| Sufyan Mehmoodlbw · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Yasir Mohammad | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Vinayak Shuklalbw · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Nosthush Kenjige |
| 5 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 26.32 |
| Jiten Ramanandibowled · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Milind Kumar | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Nosthush Kenjige | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jay Odedrabowled · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Bukkapatnam Siddharthlbw · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nosthush Kenjige | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milind Kumar1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 2.83 | 1 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Mohammad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Jatinder Singh, 2.5) · 2-12 (Aamir Kaleem, 4.0) · 3-34 (Hashir Dafedar, 11.0) · 4-50 (Sufyan Mehmood, 15.0) · 5-57 (Vinayak Shukla, 19.1) · 6-60 (Hammad Mirza, 21.5) · 7-60 (Jiten Ramanandi, 22.2) · 8-61 (Shakeel Ahmed, 24.0) · 9-65 (Jay Odedra, 25.1) · 10-65 (Bukkapatnam Siddharth, 25.3)
Recorded target: 123 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 13/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 15/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 22/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 22/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 29/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 34/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 49/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 50/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 51/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 53/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 57/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 58/5 |
| 21 | 0 | 58/5 |
| 22 | 2 | 60/6 |
| 23 | 0 | 60/7 |
| 24 | 1 | 61/8 |
| 25 | 4 | 65/8 |
| 26 | 0 | 65/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.