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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 42%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 0% to 85% during the match (Surrey: 15% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · John Simpson · Ollie Robinson1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · John Simpson · b Ollie Robinson | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
 Will Jacksnot out6 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 70* | 39 | 6 | 4 | 179.49 |
| Josh Philippecaught · Oli Carter · James Coles 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Oli Carter · b James Coles | 52 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 185.71 |
 Sam Currancaught · Harrison Ward · James Coles1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b James Coles | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
 Daniel Lawrencenot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 8 | 2 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 12.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Jason Roy, 2.4) · 2-124 (Josh Philippe, 10.1) · 3-138 (Sam Curran, 12.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 45/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 57/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 73/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 83/1 |
| 8 | 20 | 103/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 118/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 124/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 129/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 137/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 143/3 |
| 14 | 16 | 159/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 168/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 175/3 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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