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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
26 Jun 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 42%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 0% to 85% during the match (Surrey: 15% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardlbw · Daniel Lawrence 7 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Daniel Lawrence | 49 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 168.97 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Chris Jordan · Tom Lawes 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Tom Lawes | 45 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 236.84 |
| James Colescaught · Jason Roy · Daniel Lawrence 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Daniel Lawrence | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Daniel Lawrence · Tom Lawes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Tom Lawes | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Oli Carterbowled · Tom Lawes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Lawes | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| caught · Tom Curran · b Reece Topley |
| 31 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 155.00 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Chris Jordan | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 107.69 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Lawes · b Reece Topley | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Danny Briggsbowled · Chris Jordan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Jordan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Reece Topley | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2.3 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 6.40 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tom Lawes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-94 (Harrison Ward, 7.4) · 2-96 (Daniel Hughes, 8.3) · 3-104 (James Coles, 9.3) · 4-109 (Oli Carter, 10.5) · 5-122 (John Simpson, 12.5) · 6-156 (Tom Price, 16.4) · 7-158 (Tom Alsop, 17.1) · 8-169 (Danny Briggs, 18.4) · 9-171 (Ollie Robinson, 19.1) · 10-171 (Tymal Mills, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 56/0 |
| 6 | 24 | 80/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 92/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 94/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 99/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 106/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 109/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 115/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 122/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 125/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 137/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 149/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 158/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 163/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 171/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 171/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.