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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
27 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 51%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhrun out · Milind Kumar · Jasdeep Singh 6 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Milind Kumar | 42 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 91.30 |
| Aamir Kaleemcaught · Harmeet Singh · Saurabh Netravalkar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmeet Singh · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Shayan Jahangir · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shayan Jahangir · b Harmeet Singh | 19 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 38.78 |
| Hammad Mirzabowled · Harmeet Singh 7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 50 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 96.15 |
| Mohammad Nadeemlbw · Milind Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Milind Kumar | 14 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 50% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Jasdeep Singh |
| 4 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Vinayak Shuklabowled · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 46 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 124.32 |
|---|
| Sufyan Mehmoodbowled · Jasdeep Singh 5 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 72 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 141.18 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahlbw · Jasdeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasdeep Singh | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 73.33 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 3.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 64 | 3 | 6.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 69 | 3 | 6.90 | 3 | 0 |
1-10 (Aamir Kaleem, 1.1) · 2-64 (Jatinder Singh, 15.2) · 3-84 (Mujibur Ali, 18.1) · 4-111 (Mohammad Nadeem, 23.3) · 5-129 (AR Bisht, 28.0) · 6-155 (Hammad Mirza, 30.4) · 7-233 (Vinayak Shukla, 41.3) · 8-258 (Hassnain Shah, 45.3) · 9-273 (Sufyan Mehmood, 47.5)
Recorded target: 294 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 44/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 50/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 18 | 14 | 82/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 21 | 7 | 98/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 103/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 111/4 |
| 25 | 8 | 119/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 121/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 126/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 129/5 |
| 29 | 5 | 134/5 |
| 30 | 8 | 142/5 |
| 31 | 14 | 156/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 162/6 |
| 33 | 11 | 173/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 177/6 |
| 35 | 3 | 180/6 |
| 36 | 9 | 189/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 192/6 |
| 38 | 13 | 205/6 |
| 39 | 11 | 216/6 |
| 40 | 8 | 224/6 |
| 41 | 8 | 232/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 233/7 |
| 43 | 7 | 240/7 |
| 44 | 11 | 251/7 |
| 45 | 5 | 256/7 |
| 46 | 3 | 259/8 |
| 47 | 10 | 269/8 |
| 48 | 5 | 274/9 |
| 49 | 6 | 280/9 |
| 50 | 4 | 284/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.