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Asian Games Women's Cricket Competition · 2026 · Women
20 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 81%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 81% to 100% during the match (Bangladesh: 0% to 19%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilara Aktercaught · Shreyanka Patil · Deepti Sharma 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shreyanka Patil · b Deepti Sharma | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 117.39 |
| Juairiya Ferdouscaught · G Kamalini · Nandani Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · G Kamalini · b Nandani Sharma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sobhana Mostarycaught · Bharati Fulmali · Kranti Goud 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bharati Fulmali · b Kranti Goud | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
 Nigar Sultanacaught · Kranti Goud · Shree Charani2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kranti Goud · b Shree Charani | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Shorna Aktercaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Shreyanka Patil1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Shreyanka Patil |
| 5 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 62.50 |
 Sharmin Akhterstumped · Richa Ghosh · Shree Charani0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Richa Ghosh · b Shree Charani | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Nahida Aktercaught and bowled · Nandani Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nandani Sharma | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Rabeya Khanbowled · Nandani Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandani Sharma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sultana Khatunnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Marufa Akterlbw · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Deepti Sharma | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Sanjida Akter Meghlacaught · G Kamalini · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · G Kamalini · b Deepti Sharma | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandani Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Shree Charani1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Shreyanka Patil0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 5 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Juairiya Ferdous, 1.1) · 2-9 (Sobhana Mostary, 2.3) · 3-38 (Nigar Sultana, 5.3) · 4-43 (Shorna Akter, 7.0) · 5-49 (Dilara Akter, 9.2) · 6-56 (Nahida Akter, 10.4) · 7-56 (Rabeya Khan, 10.5) · 8-66 (Sharmin Akhter, 13.2) · 9-81 (Marufa Akter, 15.2) · 10-81 (Sanjida Akter Meghla, 15.4)
Recorded target: 196 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 48/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 53/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 56/7 |
| 12 | 2 | 58/7 |
| 13 | 8 | 66/7 |
| 14 | 0 | 66/8 |
| 15 | 15 | 81/8 |
| 16 | 0 | 81/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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