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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
7 Feb 2024 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 45%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Joburg Super Kings: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 7 Feb 2024, Paarl Royals played Joburg Super Kings at Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg. Recorded result: Joburg Super Kings won by 9 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.