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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 58%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 81% during the match (Northamptonshire: 19% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · David Willey · Jack White0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Jack White | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
| Luke Wellscaught · Matthew Breetzke · Jack White 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Jack White | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Freddie Heldreich 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Freddie Heldreich | 36 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 150.00 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught and bowled · Jack White 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jack White | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Ben Sanderson · Ravi Bopara1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Ben Sanderson · b Ravi Bopara |
| 30 |
| 22 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 136.36 |
 George Dockrellcaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Ben Sanderson4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Ben Sanderson | 45 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 180.00 |
|---|
 Steven Croftcaught · Ravi Bopara · David Willey1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ravi Bopara · b David Willey | 22 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 183.33 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Lewis McManus · Ben Sanderson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Ben Sanderson | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Luke Woodnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 6 | 3 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
 Saqib Mahmoodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.1 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.12 | 1 | 0 |
 Freddie Heldreich0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Luke Wells, 2.1) · 2-20 (Philip Salt, 2.3) · 3-46 (Keaton Jennings, 4.5) · 4-101 (Liam Livingstone, 11.2) · 5-115 (Matthew Hurst, 12.4) · 6-159 (Steven Croft, 16.4) · 7-170 (Chris Green, 17.4) · 8-175 (Tom Hartley, 18.2) · 9-190 (George Dockrell, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 12 | 46/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 65/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 93/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 100/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 110/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 120/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 132/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 141/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 152/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 165/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 175/7 |
| 19 | 15 | 190/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 201/9 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Gus Miller: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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