OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England Women tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Women
7 Apr 2024 · ODI
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
England started on 70%; England batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suzie Batescaught · Maia Bouchier · Nat Sciver-Brunt1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maia Bouchier · b Nat Sciver-Brunt | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Georgia Plimmercaught · Amy Jones · Kate Cross 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Jones · b Kate Cross | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
 Amelia Kerrlbw · Sophie Ecclestone4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sophie Ecclestone | 31 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 51.67 |
 Sophie Devinenot out11 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 100* | 93 | 11 | 4 | 107.53 |
England's chances ranged from 0% to 80% during the match (New Zealand: 20% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Maddy Greennot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 54 | 3 | 0 | 70.37 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kate Cross1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 |
 Nat Sciver-Brunt1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 3.86 | 2 | 0 |
 Sophie Ecclestone2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 25 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Lauren Filer0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 7.83 | 4 | 0 |
 Charlie Dean0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 63 | 0 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-5 (Georgia Plimmer, 3.0) · 2-14 (Suzie Bates, 5.2) · 3-90 (Amelia Kerr, 22.5)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 26/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 31/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 45/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 54/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 58/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 70/2 |
| 19 | 0 | 70/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 73/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 73/2 |
| 22 | 14 | 87/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 90/3 |
| 24 | 16 | 106/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 108/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 112/3 |
| 27 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 28 | 12 | 124/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 127/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 131/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 136/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 140/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 146/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 151/3 |
| 35 | 1 | 152/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 155/3 |
| 37 | 10 | 165/3 |
| 38 | 17 | 182/3 |
| 39 | 13 | 195/3 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Devine: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
