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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
1 Jan 2025 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 57%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 30% to 97% during the match (Northern Districts: 3% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Watkinrun out · Amelia Kerr, XA Jetly · XA Jetly 5 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Amelia Kerr, XA Jetly | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 178.95 |
3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Leigh Kasperek · b Amelia Kerr | 26 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 136.84 |
| Caitlin Gurreystumped · Jess McFadyen · Amelia Kerr 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jess McFadyen · b Amelia Kerr | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Nensi Patelcaught · CR King · Amelia Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR King · b Amelia Kerr | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · NE Codyre · b Leigh Kasperek |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Y Kareemcaught · Jess Kerr · Amelia Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b Amelia Kerr | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| E Wollandbowled · Jess Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| C Agafilirun out · XA Jetly · XA Jetly 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · XA Jetly | 40 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| HE Toppcaught · Ellyse Perry · Leigh Kasperek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellyse Perry · b Leigh Kasperek | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| MW Downesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-59 (Jess Watkin, 5.5) · 2-62 (Chamari Atapattu, 6.4) · 3-62 (Nensi Patel, 6.5) · 4-64 (Amanda-Jade Wellington, 8.0) · 5-76 (Y Kareem, 10.5) · 6-84 (E Wolland, 12.1) · 7-99 (Caitlin Gurrey, 14.4) · 8-128 (HE Topp, 17.5) · 9-146 (C Agafili, 20.0)
Recorded target: 151 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 17 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 64/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 71/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 75/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 88/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 94/6 |
| 15 | 10 | 104/7 |
| 16 | 11 | 115/7 |
| 17 | 8 | 123/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 129/8 |
| 19 | 12 | 141/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 146/9 |
Leigh Kasperek: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Amanda-Jade Wellington: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.