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Photo: Krish Dulal
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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
1 Feb 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 81%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 82% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 19%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingracaught · Katherine Fraser · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katherine Fraser · b Kathryn Bryce | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · Darcey Carter · Katherine Fraser 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Katherine Fraser | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
| Ella Claridgecaught · Olivia Bell · Chloe Abel 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Olivia Bell · b Chloe Abel | 35 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 134.62 |
| Isani Vaghelabowled · Kathryn Bryce 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Ritu Singhrun out · Darcey Carter, Abtaha Maqsood · Abtaha Maqsood 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Darcey Carter, Abtaha Maqsood | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 1 |
| 133.33 |
 Tara Norriscaught · Abtaha Maqsood · Chloe Abel2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abtaha Maqsood · b Chloe Abel | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 141.67 |
|---|
| Pooja Ganeshcaught · Kathryn Bryce · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| AI Chudasamacaught · Ailsa Lister · Rachel Slater 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b Rachel Slater | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Maahi Madhavanrun out · Sarah Bryce, Rachel Slater · Rachel Slater 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sarah Bryce, Rachel Slater | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Geetika Kodalinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| S Immadicaught · Darcey Carter · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (D Dhingra, 0.2) · 2-61 (CR Pagydyala, 8.2) · 3-67 (Ella Claridge, 9.3) · 4-90 (Ritu Singh, 12.3) · 5-110 (Isani Vaghela, 14.5) · 6-116 (Tara Norris, 15.5) · 7-132 (AI Chudasama, 17.4) · 8-133 (Maahi Madhavan, 17.5) · 9-135 (Pooja Ganesh, 18.2) · 10-137 (S Immadi, 19.0)
Recorded target: 179 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 79/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 103/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 111/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 117/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 127/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 134/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 137/10 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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