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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
27 Dec 2024 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 46%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · Nathan Ellis · Waqar Khan 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Nathan Ellis · b Waqar Khan | 52 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 179.31 |
 D'Arcy Shortcaught · Mitchell Owen · Billy Stanlake5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mitchell Owen · b Billy Stanlake | 41 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 186.36 |
 Chris Lynncaught · Caleb Jewell · Nikhil Chaudhary1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Caleb Jewell · b Nikhil Chaudhary | 19 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 146.15 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Billy Stanlake · Chris Jordan2 fours · 1 sixes | caught |
| 39 |
| 27 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 144.44 |
| Alex Rosscaught · Tim David · Chris Jordan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim David · b Chris Jordan | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 16 | 2 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
 James Bazleycaught · Mitchell Owen · Nathan Ellis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Owen · b Nathan Ellis | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Liam Scottnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Billy Stanlake0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikhil Chaudhary0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-76 (D'Arcy Short, 6.2) · 2-107 (Chris Lynn, 9.5) · 3-124 (Matthew Short, 11.4) · 4-143 (Alex Ross, 14.3) · 5-173 (Ollie Pope, 17.3) · 6-180 (James Bazley, 18.3)
Recorded target: 215 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 30/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 61/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 76/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 83/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 94/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 105/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 108/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 121/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 126/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 131/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 139/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 149/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 158/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 165/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 176/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 184/6 |
| 20 | 19 | 203/6 |
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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