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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
3 Jul 2025 · Test
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, Grenada · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstasbowled · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Usman Khawajalbw · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jayden Seales | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
 Cameron Greenbowled · Shamar Joseph5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 52 | 123 | 5 | 0 | 42.28 |
 |
| caught · John Campbell · b Alzarri Joseph |
| 8 |
| 33 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 24.24 |
 Steve Smithlbw · Justin Greaves7 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Justin Greaves | 71 | 119 | 7 | 1 | 59.66 |
|---|
 Travis Headbowled · Shamar Joseph4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 39 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 65.00 |
|---|
 Beau Webstercaught · Roston Chase · Justin Greaves0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Justin Greaves | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Alex Careylbw · Shamar Joseph4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shamar Joseph | 30 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · Shai Hope · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 22 | 1 | 0 | 59.09 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodbowled · Alzarri Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 1 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 6 | 29 | 2 | 1.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 16.0 | 1 | 66 | 4 | 4.13 | 0 | 2 |
| Alzarri Joseph2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.3 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 3.15 | 1 | 0 |
| Anderson Phillip0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 3.56 | 0 | 2 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 5.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 2.44 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Sam Konstas, 0.4) · 2-4 (Usman Khawaja, 2.5) · 3-28 (Nathan Lyon, 14.4) · 4-121 (Cameron Green, 39.5) · 5-179 (Steve Smith, 52.4) · 6-181 (Beau Webster, 54.4) · 7-212 (Travis Head, 62.3) · 8-222 (Pat Cummins, 64.5) · 9-234 (Alex Carey, 68.3) · 10-243 (Josh Hazlewood, 71.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 5/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 9/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 12/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 12/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 15/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 16/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 18/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 21/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 21/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 28/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 33/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 40/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 41/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 20 | 0 | 44/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 52/3 |
| 23 | 8 | 60/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 61/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 67/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 78/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 32 | 6 | 90/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 92/3 |
| 34 | 7 | 99/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 103/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 104/3 |
| 37 | 6 | 110/3 |
| 38 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 39 | 0 | 112/3 |
| 40 | 13 | 125/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 126/4 |
| 42 | 8 | 134/4 |
| 43 | 8 | 142/4 |
| 44 | 2 | 144/4 |
| 45 | 4 | 148/4 |
| 46 | 5 | 153/4 |
| 47 | 6 | 159/4 |
| 48 | 4 | 163/4 |
| 49 | 7 | 170/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 171/4 |
| 51 | 4 | 175/4 |
| 52 | 3 | 178/4 |
| 53 | 1 | 179/5 |
| 54 | 0 | 179/5 |
| 55 | 3 | 182/6 |
| 56 | 9 | 191/6 |
| 57 | 2 | 193/6 |
| 58 | 2 | 195/6 |
| 59 | 1 | 196/6 |
| 60 | 8 | 204/6 |
| 61 | 3 | 207/6 |
| 62 | 3 | 210/6 |
| 63 | 4 | 214/7 |
| 64 | 3 | 217/7 |
| 65 | 5 | 222/8 |
| 66 | 4 | 226/8 |
| 67 | 0 | 226/8 |
| 68 | 2 | 228/8 |
| 69 | 6 | 234/9 |
| 70 | 3 | 237/9 |
| 71 | 5 | 242/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 243/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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