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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
5 Oct 2026 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 20%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · Milind Kumar · Ehsan Adil 10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Ehsan Adil | 78 | 78 | 10 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Adeeb Usmanicaught · Smit Patel · Shubham Ranjane 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Shubham Ranjane | 36 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 97.30 |
| Muhammad Shahdadcaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Harmeet Singh 9 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Harmeet Singh | 114 | 107 | 9 | 3 | 106.54 |
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 24 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 77.42 |
| Rahul Choprabowled · Jasdeep Singh0 fours · 1 sixes |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 1% to 79% during the match (United States of America: 21% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Jasdeep Singh |
| 8 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 133.33 |
| Sohaib Khanbowled · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 24 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveerbowled · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harmeet Singh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Basil Hameednot out 0 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 24* | 11 | 0 | 3 | 218.18 |
|---|
| Ali Naseercaught · Smit Patel · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Harmeet Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.1 | 2 | 38 | 1 | 4.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Ehsan Adil0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 63 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 7.5 | 0 | 72 | 1 | 9.19 | 2 | 2 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 65 | 4 | 6.50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 | |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 6.80 | 0 | 0 |
1-70 (Adeeb Usmani, 12.1) · 2-150 (T Suri, 26.4) · 3-215 (Harpreet Singh, 37.3) · 4-229 (Rahul Chopra, 39.2) · 5-276 (Sohaib Khan, 45.1) · 6-278 (Khuzaima Tanveer, 46.0) · 7-295 (Muhammad Shahdad, 47.2) · 8-296 (Ali Naseer, 47.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 41/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 46/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 50/0 |
| 11 | 12 | 62/0 |
| 12 | 8 | 70/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 72/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 80/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 84/1 |
| 16 | 9 | 93/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 98/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 101/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 103/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 109/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 113/1 |
| 22 | 14 | 127/1 |
| 23 | 10 | 137/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 141/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 147/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 149/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 151/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 156/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 158/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 162/2 |
| 31 | 7 | 169/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 173/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 176/2 |
| 34 | 6 | 182/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 189/2 |
| 36 | 15 | 204/2 |
| 37 | 9 | 213/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 217/3 |
| 39 | 11 | 228/3 |
| 40 | 3 | 231/4 |
| 41 | 8 | 239/4 |
| 42 | 6 | 245/4 |
| 43 | 14 | 259/4 |
| 44 | 9 | 268/4 |
| 45 | 8 | 276/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 278/6 |
| 47 | 15 | 293/6 |
| 48 | 5 | 298/8 |
| 49 | 16 | 314/8 |
| 50 | 16 | 330/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.