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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Men
13 Feb 2024 · Test
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Brandcaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 34 | 60 | 6 | 0 | 56.67 |
| Clyde Fortuinlbw · Rachin Ravindra 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rachin Ravindra | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Raynard van Tondercaught · Neil Wagner · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Neil Wagner · b William O’Rourke | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
| Zubayr Hamzacaught · Will Young · Neil Wagner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Neil Wagner | 17 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 26.98 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Glenn Phillips · William O’Rourke12 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Glenn Phillips · b William O’Rourke |
| 110 |
| 141 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 78.01 |
| Keegan Petersencaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 43 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 54.43 |
|---|
| Ruan de Swardtbowled · Glenn Phillips 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Glenn Phillips | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Shaun von Bergcaught · Neil Wagner · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Neil Wagner · b William O’Rourke | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
| Dane Piedtcaught · Tim Southee · Glenn Phillips 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Southee · b Glenn Phillips | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
 Dane Patersoncaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Tshepo Morekinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Southee2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Henry5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1.36 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 50 | 1 | 3.85 | 1 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.5 | 4 | 34 | 5 | 2.46 | 1 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 3 | 50 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 2 |
1-23 (Clyde Fortuin, 10.1) · 2-28 (Raynard van Tonder, 13.4) · 3-39 (Neil Brand, 17.5) · 4-104 (Zubayr Hamza, 36.5) · 5-202 (Keegan Petersen, 59.2) · 6-213 (Ruan de Swardt, 62.2) · 7-219 (David Bedingham, 65.3) · 8-226 (Dane Piedt, 68.1) · 9-234 (Shaun von Berg, 69.1) · 10-235 (Dane Paterson, 69.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 23/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 23/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 26/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 28/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 37/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 42/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 49/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 49/3 |
| 23 | 11 | 60/3 |
| 24 | 9 | 69/3 |
| 25 | 10 | 79/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 79/3 |
| 27 | 8 | 87/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 88/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 88/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 89/3 |
| 31 | 3 | 92/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 96/3 |
| 33 | 0 | 96/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 35 | 1 | 101/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 103/3 |
| 37 | 1 | 104/4 |
| 38 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 39 | 7 | 116/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 120/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 125/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 125/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 130/4 |
| 44 | 7 | 137/4 |
| 45 | 2 | 139/4 |
| 46 | 9 | 148/4 |
| 47 | 6 | 154/4 |
| 48 | 4 | 158/4 |
| 49 | 8 | 166/4 |
| 50 | 9 | 175/4 |
| 51 | 3 | 178/4 |
| 52 | 5 | 183/4 |
| 53 | 3 | 186/4 |
| 54 | 3 | 189/4 |
| 55 | 4 | 193/4 |
| 56 | 2 | 195/4 |
| 57 | 0 | 195/4 |
| 58 | 5 | 200/4 |
| 59 | 2 | 202/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 204/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 207/5 |
| 62 | 6 | 213/5 |
| 63 | 0 | 213/6 |
| 64 | 5 | 218/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 219/6 |
| 66 | 1 | 220/7 |
| 67 | 6 | 226/7 |
| 68 | 0 | 226/7 |
| 69 | 8 | 234/8 |
| 70 | 1 | 235/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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