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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
25 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 54%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 1% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imran Ali Buttbowled · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amir Farooq | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Asif Alicaught · Muhammad Tanveer · Amir Farooq 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Tanveer · b Amir Farooq | 24 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 126.32 |
| Imran Anwarbowled · Amir Farooq 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amir Farooq | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Sohail Ahmedcaught · Imal Liyanage · Muhammad Jabir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Muhammad Jabir | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught and bowled · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Amir Farooq | 30 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 130.43 |
| caught · Mohammad Ahnaff · b Ikramullah Khan |
| 68 |
| 42 |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 161.90 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Mohammed Rizlan · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Rizlan · b Amir Farooq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Rizwan Buttrun out · Muhammad Tanveer · Muhammad Jabir 1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Muhammad Tanveer | 32 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodcaught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · Muhammad Jabir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mirza Mohammed Baig · b Muhammad Jabir | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Imran Khan (5)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Majeednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 5 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Nadeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
| A Nagarajan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Tanveer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Imran Ali Butt, 1.1) · 2-13 (Imran Anwar, 1.3) · 3-22 (Sohail Ahmed, 3.0) · 4-44 (Asif Ali, 5.2) · 5-124 (Fiaz Ahmed, 13.4) · 6-124 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 13.5) · 7-144 (Haider Butt, 16.1) · 8-169 (Rizwan Butt, 19.2) · 9-170 (Ali Dawood, 19.4)
Recorded target: 186 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 28/3 |
| 5 | 10 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 49/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 54/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 61/4 |
| 9 | 16 | 77/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 98/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 110/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 116/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 125/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 133/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 144/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 148/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 158/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 166/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 172/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.