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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
20 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 45%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 1% to 87% during the match (United States of America: 13% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingracaught · Sylvia Shihepo · Eveleen Kejarukua 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sylvia Shihepo · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · Sylvia Shihepo · Eveleen Kejarukua 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sylvia Shihepo · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 15 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 57.69 |
| Ella Claridgelbw · Wilka Mwatile 10 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Wilka Mwatile | 70 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 137.25 |
| Isani Vaghelabowled · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Tuhadeleni | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| AI Chudasamacaught · Sylvia Shihepo · S Tuhadeleni 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sylvia Shihepo · b S Tuhadeleni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Ritu Singhcaught · Wilka Mwatile · M Mwatile 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Wilka Mwatile · b M Mwatile | 21 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 210.00 |
|---|
| Pooja Ganeshnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Tara Norrisnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 1 |
| S Tuhadeleni0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sune Wittmann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sylvia Shihepo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (D Dhingra, 2.2) · 2-58 (CR Pagydyala, 10.1) · 3-61 (Isani Vaghela, 11.4) · 4-75 (AI Chudasama, 13.1) · 5-108 (Ritu Singh, 16.0) · 6-141 (Ella Claridge, 18.4)
Recorded target: 145 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 49/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 52/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 66/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 75/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 85/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 96/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 108/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 115/5 |
| 18 | 17 | 132/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 143/6 |
| 20 | 2 | 145/6 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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