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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
12 Jan 2025 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 47%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Browncaught · Usama Mir · Mark Steketee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usama Mir · b Mark Steketee | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
 Marcus Harriscaught · Ben Duckett · Mark Steketee0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Mark Steketee | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught · Hilton Cartwright · Mark Steketee 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Mark Steketee | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 111.76 |
| Jacob Bethellbowled · Joel Paris 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joel Paris | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Ben Duckett · Joel Paris2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Ben Duckett · b Joel Paris |
| 26 |
| 26 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Will Sutherlandbowled · Peter Siddle0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Peter Siddle | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Harry Dixoncaught · Glenn Maxwell · Mark Steketee 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Mark Steketee | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogerscaught · Ben Duckett · Joel Paris 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Joel Paris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Fergus O'Neillcaught · Ben Duckett · Beau Webster 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Beau Webster | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 63.16 |
|---|
 Adam Zampacaught · Tom Rogers · Mark Steketee0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Mark Steketee | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kane Richardsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark Steketee0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 4.25 | 4 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 1 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 9.13 | 3 | 1 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Marcus Harris, 1.4) · 2-11 (Josh Brown, 2.0) · 3-22 (Jacob Bethell, 4.3) · 4-44 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 7.3) · 5-76 (Will Sutherland, 12.3) · 6-78 (Tim Seifert, 13.1) · 7-80 (Tom Rogers, 13.3) · 8-101 (Harry Dixon, 16.2) · 9-101 (Adam Zampa, 16.3) · 10-123 (Fergus O'Neill, 19.5)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 27/3 |
| 7 | 16 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 46/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 54/4 |
| 11 | 14 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 78/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 81/7 |
| 15 | 13 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 101/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 104/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 109/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 115/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 123/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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