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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
12 Jan 2025 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 47%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harperlbw · Tom Rogers 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Rogers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Kane Richardson · Fergus O'Neill4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kane Richardson · b Fergus O'Neill | 21 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Will Sutherland · Adam Zampa1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Adam Zampa | 15 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Tim Seifert · Fergus O'Neill 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Fergus O'Neill | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Kane Richardson · b Tom Rogers |
| 18 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 180.00 |
 Glenn Maxwellbowled · Kane Richardson4 fours · 10 sixes | bowled · b Kane Richardson | 90 | 52 | 4 | 10 | 173.08 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · Tim Seifert · Kane Richardson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Kane Richardson | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Joel Parisrun out · Harry Dixon · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Harry Dixon | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Usama Mircaught · Josh Brown · Jacob Bethell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Brown · b Jacob Bethell | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mark Steketeenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Peter Siddlecaught · Will Sutherland · Adam Zampa1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Adam Zampa | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 6.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Kane Richardson0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.91 | 1 | 1 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Sam Harper, 0.1) · 2-32 (Ben Duckett, 4.3) · 3-32 (Tom Rogers, 4.4) · 4-45 (Beau Webster, 6.5) · 5-55 (Marcus Stoinis, 7.3) · 6-63 (Hilton Cartwright, 9.2) · 7-75 (Joel Paris, 11.0) · 8-156 (Usama Mir, 18.3) · 9-158 (Glenn Maxwell, 19.1) · 10-165 (Peter Siddle, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 34/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 45/4 |
| 8 | 15 | 60/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 62/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 64/6 |
| 11 | 11 | 75/7 |
| 12 | 14 | 89/7 |
| 13 | 7 | 96/7 |
| 14 | 7 | 103/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 106/7 |
| 16 | 11 | 117/7 |
| 17 | 17 | 134/7 |
| 18 | 22 | 156/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 158/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 165/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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