OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: T.TTTT.TU
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup East Asia-Pacific Qualifier · 2026 · Men
18 May 2026 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Japan started on 46%; Japan batted first.
Japan's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sese Baucaught · A Patmore · R Sakurano-Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Patmore · b R Sakurano-Thomas | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Tony Urabowled · Charlie Hara-Hinze 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Hara-Hinze | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Lega Siakacaught · A Patmore · Abdul Samad (2) 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Patmore · b Abdul Samad (2) | 22 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| Patrick Noucaught · Ibrahim Takahashi · S Sugaya-Slater 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Takahashi · b S Sugaya-Slater | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Assad Valarun out · W Miyauchi · Charlie Hara-Hinze1 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · W Miyauchi |
| 17 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 89.47 |
| Boio Raycaught · D Suzuki · Ibrahim Takahashi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Suzuki · b Ibrahim Takahashi | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Gaba Frankcaught · S Sugaya-Slater · Ibrahim Takahashi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Sugaya-Slater · b Ibrahim Takahashi | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Alei Naonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Hila Varebowled · Charlie Hara-Hinze 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Hara-Hinze | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| John Karikonot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Samad (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| R Sakurano-Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Hara-Hinze0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Sugaya-Slater0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Ibrahim Takahashi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| S Ravichandran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Sese Bau, 1.3) · 2-19 (Tony Ura, 4.4) · 3-25 (Patrick Nou, 5.3) · 4-62 (Lega Siaka, 12.3) · 5-63 (Assad Vala, 13.2) · 6-68 (Gaba Frank, 14.5) · 7-77 (Boio Ray, 16.3) · 8-84 (Hila Vare, 17.5)
Recorded target: 122 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 30/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 32/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 48/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 59/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 66/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 68/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 74/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 77/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 84/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 86/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 95/8 |
Assad Vala: LondonWriting · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
