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ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2024 · Men
21 Jun 2024 · T20
Kensington Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 32%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (West Indies: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shai Hopenot out4 fours · 8 sixes | not out | 82* | 39 | 4 | 8 | 210.26 |
| Johnson Charlescaught · Milind Kumar · Harmeet Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Harmeet Singh | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
| Nicolas Poorannot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 27* | 12 | 1 | 3 | 225.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls |
| 2.5 |
| 0 |
| 31 |
| 0 |
| 10.94 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
 Ali Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
1-67 (Johnson Charles, 7.0)
Recorded target: 129 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 58/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 75/1 |
| 9 | 22 | 97/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 110/1 |
| 11 | 20 | 130/1 |
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Andre Russell: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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