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Photo: Original uploader was ShattaAD at en.wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 35%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Scotland: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Munseycaught · Shakeel Ahmed · Mehran Khan 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Shakeel Ahmed · b Mehran Khan | 41 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 205.00 |
1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mehran Khan · b Bilal Khan | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 123.08 |
| Brandon McMullennot out 9 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 61* | 31 | 9 | 2 | 196.77 |
| Richie Berringtonbowled · Aaqib Ilyas 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Aaqib Ilyas | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 185.71 |
| Matty Crossnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 15* | 8 | 0 | 2 | 187.50 |
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 5.54 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleemullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaqib Ilyas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 16.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Michael Jones, 3.0) · 2-86 (George Munsey, 7.5) · 3-110 (Richie Berrington, 9.5)
Recorded target: 151 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 20 | 70/1 |
| 8 | 16 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 100/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 110/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 118/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 129/3 |
| 13 | 20 | 149/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 153/3 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brad Wheal: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.