Sunrisers HyderabadversusKolkata Knight Riders

21 May 2024 · T20

Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 8 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad19.3 overs159/10 Kolkata Knight Riders13.4 overs164/2 Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 41%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 53% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.2: MA Starc to TM Head, TM Head out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 59% to 73%.
4.6: MA Starc to Shahbaz Ahmed, Shahbaz Ahmed out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 75% to 86%.
10.6: CV Varun to H Klaasen, H Klaasen out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 53% to 66%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad159/10 Kolkata Knight Riders164/2

Innings 1