SwitzerlandversusBelgium

Too close to call

Why

• On results in T20 internationals so far, Switzerland rate stronger than Belgium (1,482 vs 1,466 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Switzerland started on 50%; Switzerland batted first.

Switzerland's chances ranged from 4% to 99% during the match (Belgium: 1% to 96%).

Biggest swings

1. 2nd inns 10.2: K Fletcher to Shaheryar Butt, Shaheryar Butt out. Switzerland up from 60% to 82%.
2. 2nd inns 17.2: Abdullah Rana to B Niaz, six by B Niaz. Belgium up from 26% to 51%.
3. 2nd inns 17.3: Abdullah Rana to B Niaz, four by B Niaz. Belgium up from 51% to 71%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.