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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
15 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 26%; Canada batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Ajayveer Hundal · Kaleem Sana 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ajayveer Hundal · b Kaleem Sana | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 162.50 |
| Hasnain Ul Wahabstumped · Hamza Tariq · Sheel Patel 4 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Hamza Tariq · b Sheel Patel | 29 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 80.56 |
| K Sonavalebowled · Sheel Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sheel Patel | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Sheel Patel · Harsh Thaker 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sheel Patel · b Harsh Thaker | 49 | 86 | 3 | 0 | 56.98 |
| Mujibur Alibowled · Zahid Shirzad 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zahid Shirzad | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 43.48 |
Canada's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Zahid Shirzad |
| 11 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| Zikria Islambowled · Sheel Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sheel Patel | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Nadeem Khan (2)run out · Ajayveer Hundal, Harsh Thaker · Harsh Thaker 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ajayveer Hundal, Harsh Thaker | 13 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 61.90 |
|---|
| Jay Odedranot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 27 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Harsh Thaker · Zahid Shirzad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harsh Thaker · b Zahid Shirzad | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · YS Samra · Kaleem Sana 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · YS Samra · b Kaleem Sana | 27 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 72.97 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 4.94 | 5 | 0 |
| Zahid Shirzad0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 48 | 3 | 5.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Sheel Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 4.22 | 2 | 0 |
| Sukhjinder Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Jatinder Singh, 2.3) · 2-41 (K Sonavale, 6.0) · 3-66 (Hasnain Ul Wahab, 13.3) · 4-101 (Mujibur Ali, 23.0) · 5-117 (Vinayak Shukla, 26.3) · 6-123 (Zikria Islam, 28.0) · 7-143 (Nadeem Khan (2), 33.1) · 8-143 (Hammad Mirza, 34.0) · 9-162 (Shakeel Ahmed, 38.3) · 10-198 (Hassnain Shah, 46.3)
Recorded target: 257 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 50/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 55/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 61/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 69/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 79/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 83/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 84/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 87/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 94/3 |
| 23 | 7 | 101/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 103/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 107/4 |
| 26 | 10 | 117/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 121/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 123/6 |
| 29 | 5 | 128/6 |
| 30 | 2 | 130/6 |
| 31 | 3 | 133/6 |
| 32 | 4 | 137/6 |
| 33 | 5 | 142/6 |
| 34 | 1 | 143/8 |
| 35 | 4 | 147/8 |
| 36 | 3 | 150/8 |
| 37 | 6 | 156/8 |
| 38 | 5 | 161/8 |
| 39 | 2 | 163/9 |
| 40 | 13 | 176/9 |
| 41 | 6 | 182/9 |
| 42 | 5 | 187/9 |
| 43 | 1 | 188/9 |
| 44 | 2 | 190/9 |
| 45 | 2 | 192/9 |
| 46 | 4 | 196/9 |
| 47 | 2 | 198/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.