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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
9 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 67%; Oman batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samracaught · Zikria Islam · Shakeel Ahmed 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zikria Islam · b Shakeel Ahmed | 9 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 69.23 |
| Aaron Johnsoncaught · Hammad Mirza · Samay Shrivastava 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Samay Shrivastava | 29 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Ajayveer Hundalbowled · Hassnain Shah 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hassnain Shah | 20 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 74.07 |
| Aaditya Varadarajancaught · Mujibur Ali · Shakeel Ahmed 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mujibur Ali · b Shakeel Ahmed | 64 | 81 | 3 | 2 | 79.01 |
| Harsh Thakerbowled · Hassnain Shah 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hassnain Shah | 40 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 75.47 |
Oman's chances ranged from 67% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 33%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Zikria Islam · b Samay Shrivastava |
| 28 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 127.27 |
| Shreyas Movvastumped · Vinayak Shukla · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Shakeel Ahmed | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Akhil Kumarbowled · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hassnain Shah | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Shivam Sharma (3)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Sheel Patelstumped · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sukhjinder Singhbowled · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hassnain Shah | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 2.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 63 | 3 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 4 | 3.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Zikria Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sanju Sajeev0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (YS Samra, 3.0) · 2-53 (Ajayveer Hundal, 13.3) · 3-76 (Aaron Johnson, 19.0) · 4-171 (Aaditya Varadarajan, 38.2) · 5-173 (Harsh Thaker, 39.1) · 6-190 (Shreyas Movva, 42.2) · 7-215 (Akhil Kumar, 45.5) · 8-217 (Hamza Tariq, 46.5) · 9-217 (Sheel Patel, 47.0) · 10-222 (Sukhjinder Singh, 48.0)
Recorded target: 264 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 17/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 23/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 25/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 40/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 51/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 66/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 69/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 72/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 73/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 76/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 79/3 |
| 21 | 12 | 91/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 93/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 94/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 98/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 99/3 |
| 26 | 7 | 106/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 109/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 118/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 119/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 120/3 |
| 31 | 10 | 130/3 |
| 32 | 1 | 131/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 134/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 139/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 144/3 |
| 36 | 5 | 149/3 |
| 37 | 10 | 159/3 |
| 38 | 11 | 170/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 173/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 174/5 |
| 41 | 8 | 182/5 |
| 42 | 7 | 189/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 194/6 |
| 44 | 14 | 208/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 212/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 215/7 |
| 47 | 2 | 217/9 |
| 48 | 5 | 222/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.