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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Men
26 Jul 2026 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 85%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 15%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · Mayank Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · b Mayank Yadav | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ben Currancaught · Mayank Yadav · Ravi Bishnoi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mayank Yadav · b Ravi Bishnoi | 20 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105.26 |
| Dion Myerscaught · Shreyas Iyer · Yash Thakur 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shreyas Iyer · b Yash Thakur | 19 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 126.67 |
 Sikandar Razacaught and bowled · Yash Thakur0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Yash Thakur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ryan Burlnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out |
| 43 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 125.58 |
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Tilak Varma · Mayank Yadav 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tilak Varma · b Mayank Yadav | 28 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 112.00 |
|---|
| Tadiwanashe Marumanibowled · Ashok Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashok Sharma | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Brad Evanscaught · Rinku Singh · Mayank Yadav 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Mayank Yadav | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 107.69 |
|---|
| Newman Nyamhurinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayank Yadav0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 4 | 1 |
| Yash Thakur0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Ashok Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Suryansh Shedge0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Abhishek Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Brian Bennett, 0.1) · 2-34 (Dion Myers, 3.4) · 3-34 (Sikandar Raza, 3.5) · 4-65 (Ben Curran, 7.2) · 5-125 (Wesley Madhevere, 15.4) · 6-134 (Tadiwanashe Marumani, 17.1) · 7-156 (Brad Evans, 19.5)
Recorded target: 193 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 38/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 40/3 |
| 6 | 13 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 64/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 77/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 83/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 92/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 107/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 128/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 134/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 137/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 150/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 157/7 |
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
