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New Zealand tour of Sri Lanka · 2024/25 · Men
13 Nov 2024 · ODI
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngbowled · Mahesh Theekshana8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mahesh Theekshana | 48 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 104.35 |
| Tim Robinsonstumped · Kusal Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Mahesh Theekshana | 35 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 97.22 |
| Henry Nichollsbowled · Charith Asalanka 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charith Asalanka | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · Mahesh Theekshana · Charith Asalanka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mahesh Theekshana · b Charith Asalanka | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Pathum Nissanka · Jeffrey Vandersay 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Pathum Nissanka · b Jeffrey Vandersay |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Michael Bracewellnot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 34* | 32 | 5 | 0 | 106.25 |
|---|
| Mitchell Haycaught · Asitha Fernando · Dilshan Madushanka 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asitha Fernando · b Dilshan Madushanka | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnerrun out · Mahesh Theekshana · Mahesh Theekshana 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mahesh Theekshana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithbowled · Dilshan Madushanka 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dilshan Madushanka | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhibowled · Dilshan Madushanka0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dilshan Madushanka | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 5.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Dilshan Madushanka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Janith Liyanage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeffrey Vandersay0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Charith Asalanka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-88 (Tim Robinson, 13.2) · 2-89 (Will Young, 14.0) · 3-95 (Henry Nicholls, 14.5) · 4-100 (Mark Chapman, 16.3) · 5-110 (Glenn Phillips, 18.0) · 6-134 (Mitchell Hay, 21.2) · 7-156 (Mitchell Santner, 24.1) · 8-171 (Nathan Smith, 26.2) · 9-171 (Ish Sodhi, 26.3)
Recorded target: 221 runs in 27 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 56/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 63/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 71/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 76/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 83/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 87/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 89/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 96/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 99/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 101/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 110/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 116/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 128/5 |
| 21 | 4 | 132/5 |
| 22 | 13 | 145/6 |
| 23 | 4 | 149/6 |
| 24 | 7 | 156/6 |
| 25 | 6 | 162/7 |
| 26 | 8 | 170/7 |
| 27 | 5 | 175/9 |
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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