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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
14 Jan 2026 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 37%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 75% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 25% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Wardcaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Matthew Kuhnemann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Mitchell Owencaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Xavier Bartlett | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Nathan McSweeney · Marnus Labuschagne5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Marnus Labuschagne | 51 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 118.60 |
| Ben McDermottbowled · Matthew Kuhnemann 3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 59 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 163.89 |
| Nikhil Chaudharycaught · Michael Neser · Zaman Khan1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Michael Neser · b Zaman Khan |
| 16 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 94.12 |
 Matthew Wadecaught · Xavier Bartlett · Michael Neser0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Michael Neser | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Matt Renshaw · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Max Bryant · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Max Bryant · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Rishad Hossainnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael Neser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaman Khan0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 6 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Tim Ward, 0.4) · 2-26 (Mitchell Owen, 3.1) · 3-124 (Beau Webster, 14.1) · 4-134 (Ben McDermott, 15.4) · 5-150 (Matthew Wade, 18.0) · 6-152 (Rehan Ahmed, 18.2) · 7-152 (Chris Jordan, 18.4) · 8-156 (Nikhil Chaudhary, 19.5)
Recorded target: 161 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 13 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 39/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 15 | 77/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 84/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 111/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 117/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 124/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 129/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 136/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 141/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 150/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 155/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 157/8 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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