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Myanmar tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
16 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 20%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (Indonesia: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dharma Kesumacaught · Swann Htet Ko Ko · Khin Aye 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Swann Htet Ko Ko · b Khin Aye | 30 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 157.89 |
| J Dzulfikarrun out · Nyein Cham Soe · Nyein Cham Soe 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nyein Cham Soe | 25 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 108.70 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught · Htet Lin Oo · Nyein Cham Soe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Htet Lin Oo · b Nyein Cham Soe | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| PR Survecaught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · Htet Lin Aung 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · b Htet Lin Aung | 31 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 96.88 |
| RT Rubbicaught · Hein Zin Aung · Htet Lin Aung 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hein Zin Aung · b Htet Lin Aung | 9 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Danilson Hawoecaught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · Paing Danu 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · b Paing Danu |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Ahmad Ramdoninot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khin Aye0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 9.69 | 1 | 0 |
| Paing Danu0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Nyein Cham Soe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Htet Lin Oo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Htet Lin Aung0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
1-54 (Dharma Kesuma, 6.0) · 2-61 (J Dzulfikar, 7.2) · 3-63 (Kadek Gamantika, 7.5) · 4-106 (PR Surve, 15.4) · 5-110 (Danilson Hawoe, 16.3) · 6-116 (RT Rubbi, 17.3)
Recorded target: 128 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 70/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 77/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 90/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 102/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 108/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 116/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 123/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 127/6 |
| 20 | 1 | 128/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.