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Bangladesh tour of United States of America · 2024 · Men
21 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 46%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 3% to 90% during the match (United States of America: 11% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Taylorcaught · Mahmudullah · Mustafizur Rahman 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mahmudullah · b Mustafizur Rahman | 28 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 96.55 |
| Monank Patelrun out · Shariful Islam · Shariful Islam 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Shariful Islam | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Andries Gouscaught · Mustafizur Rahman · Rishad Hossain 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mustafizur Rahman · b Rishad Hossain | 23 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 127.78 |
| Aaron Jonescaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Mustafizur Rahman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Mustafizur Rahman | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Nitish Kumarcaught · Tawhid Hridoy · Shariful Islam 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tawhid Hridoy · b Shariful Islam |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| Corey Andersonnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 34* | 25 | 0 | 2 | 136.00 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singhnot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 33* | 13 | 2 | 3 | 253.85 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Shariful Islam0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Mahedi Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Shakib Al Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Mustafizur Rahman0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 4 | 0 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Monank Patel, 3.1) · 2-65 (Andries Gous, 8.3) · 3-75 (Steven Taylor, 11.2) · 4-78 (Aaron Jones, 11.4) · 5-94 (Nitish Kumar, 14.5)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 66/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 72/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 79/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 86/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 93/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 94/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 99/5 |
| 17 | 17 | 116/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 130/5 |
| 19 | 15 | 145/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 156/5 |
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudullah: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Soumya Sarkar: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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