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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
21 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 45%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Essex: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Nathan Gilchrist · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Gilchrist · b Xavier Bartlett | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Marcus O'Riordan · Nathan Gilchrist1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marcus O'Riordan · b Nathan Gilchrist | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Harry Finch · Nathan Gilchrist 8 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Nathan Gilchrist | 76 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 180.95 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Sam Billings · Nathan Gilchrist 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Nathan Gilchrist | 26 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 325.00 |
| caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Matt Parkinson |
| 16 |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 145.45 |
 Matthew Critchleynot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 13 | 2 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
| CWJ Allisonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beyers Swanepoel0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 4 | 2 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 46 | 3 | 15.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus O'Riordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Adam Rossington, 1.4) · 2-28 (Dean Elgar, 4.0) · 3-69 (Jordan Cox, 6.3) · 4-96 (Paul Walter, 9.4) · 5-152 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 14.4)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 17 | 57/2 |
| 7 | 20 | 77/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 85/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 93/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 97/4 |
| 11 | 20 | 117/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 125/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 133/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 142/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 157/5 |
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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