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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 53%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Thomasbowled · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reece Topley | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Daniel Hughesbowled · Tom Curran 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Curran | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · Will Jacks · Mitchell Santner 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Mitchell Santner | 45 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 180.00 |
| James Colescaught · Ollie Sykes · Reece Topley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Sykes · b Reece Topley | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Will Jacks · Mitchell Santner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Mitchell Santner | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 110.53 |
| bowled · b Chris Jordan |
| 49 |
| 34 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 144.12 |
 Jack Carsonlbw · Mitchell Santner0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Santner | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · Jason Roy · Tom Curran 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Tom Curran | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Tymal Millsrun out · Sam Curran · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Curran | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Henry Crocombebowled · Reece Topley0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Reece Topley | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Brad Currienot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Reece Topley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 9.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (George Thomas, 1.0) · 2-9 (Daniel Hughes, 1.4) · 3-14 (James Coles, 2.5) · 4-76 (Tom Clark, 8.4) · 5-85 (John Simpson, 10.4) · 6-127 (Jack Carson, 15.1) · 7-140 (Nathan McAndrew, 16.3) · 8-152 (Tymal Mills, 18.1) · 9-154 (Henry Crocombe, 18.4) · 10-162 (Danny Lamb, 19.5)
Recorded target: 211 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 10/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/3 |
| 4 | 8 | 26/3 |
| 5 | 13 | 39/3 |
| 6 | 15 | 54/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 60/3 |
| 8 | 15 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 78/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 82/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 85/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 95/5 |
| 13 | 13 | 108/5 |
| 14 | 15 | 123/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 127/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 144/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 151/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 155/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 162/10 |
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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