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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
10 Jan 2025 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Auckland: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Martin Guptillrun out · Ish Sodhi · Michael Rae4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ish Sodhi | 20 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 95.24 |
| William O'Donnellcaught · Cole McConchie · Michael Rae 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b Michael Rae | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
| Michael Sclandersstumped · Chad Bowes · Ish Sodhi 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Chad Bowes · b Ish Sodhi | 23 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 104.55 |
| Sean Soliacaught · Ish Sodhi · Michael Rae 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ish Sodhi · b Michael Rae | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Bevon Jacobscaught · Cole McConchie · Kyle Jamieson 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Cam Fletchercaught · AW McKenzie · Zakary Foulkes0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AW McKenzie · b Zakary Foulkes | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| J McKenzienot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
| Lachlan Stackpolebowled · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SB Keenebowled · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Adithya Ashoklbw · Michael Rae0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Michael Rae | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Danru Fernsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 4 | 0 |
 Kyle Jamieson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Rae0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Henry Shipley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (William O'Donnell, 2.2) · 2-41 (Martin Guptill, 6.2) · 3-60 (Michael Sclanders, 8.5) · 4-67 (Bevon Jacobs, 9.5) · 5-86 (Sean Solia, 13.4) · 6-105 (Cam Fletcher, 16.2) · 7-105 (Lachlan Stackpole, 16.4) · 8-121 (SB Keene, 18.4) · 9-125 (Adithya Ashok, 19.1)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 60/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 67/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 77/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 82/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 98/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 104/5 |
| 17 | 2 | 106/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 117/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 125/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 132/9 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adithya Ashok: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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