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Zimbabwe Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
23 Jul 2025 · T20
Pembroke Cricket Club, Sandymount, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 90%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 90% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 11%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiedza Dhururucaught · Rebecca Stokell · Sophie MacMahon 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rebecca Stokell · b Sophie MacMahon | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 109.09 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Rebecca Stokell · Ava Canning 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rebecca Stokell · b Ava Canning | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| B Bizacaught · Orla Prendergast · Cara Murray 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Cara Murray | 25 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 104.17 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Orla Prendergast · Ava Canning 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Ava Canning | 39 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 92.86 |
| R Pasipanodyarun out · Amy Hunter, Leah Paul · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Leah Paul | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Modester Mupachikwacaught · Orla Prendergast · Sophie MacMahon 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Sophie MacMahon | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 89.47 |
|---|
| Nyasha Gwanzuranot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparerun out · Rebecca Stokell, Ava Canning · Ava Canning 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rebecca Stokell, Ava Canning | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| M Mavunganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Sophie MacMahon0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Leah Paul0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Louise Little0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 4 | 0 |
1-17 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 3.1) · 2-26 (Chiedza Dhururu, 4.3) · 3-61 (B Biza, 10.0) · 4-67 (R Pasipanodya, 10.3) · 5-102 (Modester Mupachikwa, 15.2) · 6-127 (Chipo Mugeri, 19.2) · 7-128 (Francisca Chipare, 19.4)
Recorded target: 181 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 79/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 86/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 96/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 102/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 108/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 118/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 120/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 126/5 |
| 20 | 3 | 129/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.