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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
26 Jan 2024 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 45%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 19% to 97% during the match (Canterbury: 3% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Conwaybowled · Cole McConchie 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cole McConchie | 23 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Jamieson | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Nick Kellylbw · Ish Sodhi 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ish Sodhi | 33 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 106.45 |
| caught · Matt Henry · b Zakary Foulkes |
| 32 |
| 21 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 152.38 |
| Michael Bracewellnot out 1 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 54* | 24 | 1 | 6 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithcaught · Matt Henry · Zakary Foulkes 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b Zakary Foulkes | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekrun out · Tom Latham, Matt Henry · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Latham, Matt Henry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Adam Milnenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Gareth Severin, 2.3) · 2-13 (Rachin Ravindra, 3.3) · 3-56 (Devon Conway, 9.0) · 4-73 (Nick Kelly, 12.2) · 5-126 (Muhammad Abbas, 16.5) · 6-150 (Nathan Smith, 18.5) · 7-167 (Logan van Beek, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 56/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 74/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 88/4 |
| 15 | 16 | 104/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 117/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 127/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 136/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 150/6 |
| 20 | 23 | 173/7 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.