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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Gloucestershire started on 45%; Gloucestershire batted first.
Gloucestershire's chances ranged from 6% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · Marchant de Lange · Duan Jansen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marchant de Lange · b Duan Jansen | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Rob Yatescaught · James Bracey · Craig Miles 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b Craig Miles | 14 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Beau Websterbowled · Marchant de Lange1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marchant de Lange | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Sam Haincaught · James Bracey · Duan Jansen 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b Duan Jansen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · Matt Taylor · Duan Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Matt Taylor · b Duan Jansen |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| VL Janibowled · Marchant de Lange 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Marchant de Lange | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsoncaught · KS Dhariwal · Craig Miles0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KS Dhariwal · b Craig Miles | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesrun out · James Bracey, Ollie Price · Ollie Price0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · James Bracey, Ollie Price | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| TC Alicaught · Jack Taylor · Craig Miles 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Taylor · b Craig Miles | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
 Oliver Hannon-Dalbybowled · Duan Jansen0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Duan Jansen | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Usman Tariqnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duan Jansen0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.55 | 0 | 0 |
 Ollie Price0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-10 (Alex Davies, 2.2) · 2-24 (Beau Webster, 4.4) · 3-33 (Sam Hain, 5.3) · 4-36 (Ed Barnard, 5.5) · 5-42 (Rob Yates, 7.0) · 6-48 (Jordan Thompson, 8.1) · 7-63 (Chris Woakes, 10.3) · 8-66 (VL Jani, 11.2) · 9-72 (Oliver Hannon-Dalby, 14.0) · 10-74 (TC Ali, 14.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 36/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 42/5 |
| 8 | 6 | 48/5 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/6 |
| 10 | 4 | 55/6 |
| 11 | 11 | 66/7 |
| 12 | 1 | 67/8 |
| 13 | 2 | 69/8 |
| 14 | 3 | 72/9 |
| 15 | 2 | 74/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Oliver Hannon-Dalby: Dave Morton · Public domain
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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