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Photo: Bholi Aman
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Indian Premier League · 2024 · Men
28 Mar 2024 · T20
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Rajasthan Royals started on 53%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.
Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 28% to 99% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 1% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Warnercaught · Sandeep Sharma · Avesh Khan5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sandeep Sharma · b Avesh Khan | 49 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 144.12 |
 Mitchell Marshbowled · Nandre Burger5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandre Burger | 23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 191.67 |
| Ricky Bhuicaught · Sanju Samson · Nandre Burger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sanju Samson · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Sanju Samson · Yuzvendra Chahal2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sanju Samson · b Yuzvendra Chahal |
| 28 |
| 26 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 107.69 |
| Tristan Stubbsnot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 44* | 23 | 2 | 3 | 191.30 |
|---|
| Abishek Porelcaught · Jos Buttler · Yuzvendra Chahal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Yuzvendra Chahal | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
 Axar Patelnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 13 | 1 | 0 | 115.38 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Boult0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Avesh Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Yuzvendra Chahal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sandeep Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-30 (Mitchell Marsh, 3.2) · 2-30 (Ricky Bhui, 3.4) · 3-97 (David Warner, 11.2) · 4-105 (Rishabh Pant, 13.1) · 5-122 (Abishek Porel, 15.3)
Recorded target: 186 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 80/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 93/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 105/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 109/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 126/5 |
| 17 | 19 | 145/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 154/5 |
| 19 | 15 | 169/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 173/5 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Khaleel Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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