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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
United States of America Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Women
23 Oct 2024 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 61%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingrabowled · Audrey Mazvishaya 8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Audrey Mazvishaya | 41 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 89.13 |
| Gargi Bhoglecaught · Audrey Mazvishaya · Nomvelo Sibanda 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Audrey Mazvishaya · b Nomvelo Sibanda | 36 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Anika Kolanlbw · Josephine Nkomo 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josephine Nkomo | 43 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 72.88 |
| Ella Claridgecaught and bowled · O Chare 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b O Chare | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Sindhu Sriharshanot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (United States of America: 24% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 45 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| AI Chudasamalbw · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josephine Nkomo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Isani Vaghelacaught · Modester Mupachikwa · O Chare 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b O Chare | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
 Tara Norrisnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 23 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 6.17 | 4 | 0 |
| Josephine Nkomo1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 3.56 | 5 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 3.67 | 4 | 0 |
| Christabel Chatonzwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| O Chare0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.2 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.39 | 5 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 5 | 0 |
1-87 (D Dhingra, 15.5) · 2-101 (Gargi Bhogle, 18.5) · 3-105 (Ella Claridge, 19.4) · 4-164 (Anika Kolan, 32.5) · 5-164 (AI Chudasama, 33.0) · 6-171 (Isani Vaghela, 36.0)
Recorded target: 180 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 35/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 16 | 54/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 60/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 62/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 67/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 73/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 73/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 76/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 81/0 |
| 15 | 0 | 81/0 |
| 16 | 7 | 88/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 93/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 95/1 |
| 19 | 7 | 102/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 107/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 112/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 123/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 125/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 126/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 128/3 |
| 27 | 11 | 139/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 142/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 149/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 156/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 158/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 163/3 |
| 33 | 1 | 164/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 165/5 |
| 35 | 3 | 168/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 171/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 174/6 |
| 38 | 8 | 182/6 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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