Gujarat GiantsversusDelhi Capitals

3 Feb 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 7 wickets

Gujarat Giants20.0 overs168/7 Delhi Capitals15.4 overs169/3 Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Gujarat Giants started on 44%; Gujarat Giants batted first.

Gujarat Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Gujarat Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 45% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.6: CA Henry to SFM Devine, SFM Devine out. Delhi Capitals up from 54% to 65%.
5.2: NSS Sharma to A Gardner, A Gardner out. Delhi Capitals up from 60% to 70%.
8.4: M Mani to KS Ahuja, KS Ahuja out. Delhi Capitals up from 64% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.