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Hong Kong Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Women
11 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 93%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 76% to 100% during the match (Malaysia: 0% to 24%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milescaught · Irdina Beh Nabil · Mahirah Ismail 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Irdina Beh Nabil · b Mahirah Ismail | 34 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 75.56 |
| Mariko Hillrun out · Nurin Imanina · Nur Dania Syuhada 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nurin Imanina | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Y Daswaninot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 48* | 47 | 5 | 0 | 102.13 |
| Kary Chancaught and bowled · Mahirah Ismail 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mahirah Ismail | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
| MBA Lamploughstumped · Aina Najwa · Mas Elysa 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Aina Najwa · b Mas Elysa | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
| not out |
| 11* |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 137.50 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisya Eleesa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nur Dania Syuhada0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nur Qalysha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Mahirah Ismail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhanusri Muhunan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mas Elysa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Mariko Hill, 3.1) · 2-66 (Natasha Miles, 12.5) · 3-81 (Kary Chan, 15.2) · 4-100 (MBA Lamplough, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 52/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 55/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 63/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 66/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 80/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 84/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 91/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 100/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 106/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 114/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.